Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Las Palmas | Draw | Girona |
36.39% (![]() | 25.36% (![]() | 38.24% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.66% (![]() | 47.33% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.44% (![]() | 69.55% (![]() |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.62% (![]() | 25.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.83% (![]() | 60.17% |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.64% (![]() | 24.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.23% (![]() | 58.76% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Las Palmas | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 8.48% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.21% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.81% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.75% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 0.91% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.73% Total : 36.39% | 1-1 @ 11.97% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.18% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 8.73% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.45% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.16% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 1.9% Total : 38.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 26 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 57 |
2 | Real Madrid | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 57 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 56 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 49 |
5 | Villarreal | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 41 |
7 | Mallorca | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 37 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 36 |
9 | Celta Vigo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 36 |
10 | Sevilla | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 34 |
12 | Getafe | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 33 |
13 | Osasuna | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
14 | GironaGirona | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 32 |
15 | Espanyol | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 27 |
16 | Valencia | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 27 |
17 | Leganes | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 27 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 24 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 62 | -44 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |