Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.