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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio Anoeta
Atletico Madrid logo

Real Sociedad
1 - 2
Atletico

Guridi (90+3')
Le Normand (13'), Rafinha (36'), Merino (53'), Portu (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
De Paul (50'), Correa (68')
Griezmann (45+2'), Savic (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Real Sociedad 1-1 Atletico Madrid

A draw would not be enough for Real Sociedad to finish fifth, although it might be taken out of their hands ahead of this match. The hosts will be determined to end on a win regardless of whether it means they finish ahead of Real Betis, but Atletico, who might need to triumph to secure third, should be good enough for a point on the final weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
39.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 27.65% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 33.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.57% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.84% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)57.16% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)78.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (0.0039999999999907 0)28.47% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)64.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)32.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)68.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 39.09%
    Atletico Madrid 33.25%
    Draw 27.64%
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 11.48%
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 39.09%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.14%
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 10.38%
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 33.25%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Atletico

Real Sociedad
25.9%
Draw
29.6%
Atletico Madrid
44.4%
108
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2022 8pm
Real Sociedad
2-0
Atletico
Januzaj (33'), Sorloth (47')
Munoz (28'), Silva (59')

Hermoso (31'), Felipe (39'), Cunha (90+2')
Oct 24, 2021 8pm
Atletico
2-2
Real Sociedad
Suarez (61', 77' pen.)
Felipe (31')
Sorloth (7'), Isak (48')
Zaldua (41'), Elustondo (68'), Merino (76')
May 12, 2021 9pm
Dec 22, 2020 6.45pm
Real Sociedad
0-2
Atletico

Le Normand (29'), Elustondo (80'), Isak (86')
Hermoso (49'), Llorente (74')
Savic (16'), Hermoso (29'), Niguez (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
13Sevilla186482027-722
14Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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