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La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 13, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Almeria

Osasuna
3 - 1
Almeria

Budimir (46'), Ezzalzouli (51'), Gomez (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lazaro (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Osasuna
Saturday, May 6 at 9pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Elche
Tuesday, May 2 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Osasuna 1-1 Almeria

Almeria are in the better form entering this match, but it is difficult to back them on the road considering their struggles this term. Osasuna will be determined to return to winning ways, but we believe that the points will ultimately be shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawAlmeria
59.86% (0.07 0.07) 21.17% (-0.023 -0.02) 18.97% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.03% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.85% (0.037999999999997 0.04)41.15% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.45% (0.038000000000004 0.04)63.54% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.63% (0.033000000000001 0.03)13.37% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.72% (0.067 0.07)40.27% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)35.32% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)72.08% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 59.86%
    Almeria 18.97%
    Draw 21.17%
OsasunaDrawAlmeria
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.56% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.67% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.41% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.23% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 59.86%
1-1 @ 9.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.17%
1-2 @ 5.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 18.97%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Almeria

Osasuna
74.2%
Draw
19.4%
Almeria
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2022 8pm
gameweek 5
Almeria
0-1
Osasuna
Avila (28')
Garcia (5')
Jan 27, 2021 8pm
Fourth Round
Almeria
0-0
Osasuna
Almeria win 5-4 on penalties

Fernandes (116')

Garcia (68'), Vidal (72'), Sanjurjo (119')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
gameweek 23
Almeria
0-1
Osasuna

Saveljich (24'), Aguza (64'), de la Hoz (78'), Rioja (90')
Brandon (75')
Hernandez (34'), Brandon (88')
Sep 8, 2018 3pm
gameweek 4
Osasuna
3-1
Almeria
Villar (14'), Castro (64' pen.), Barja (70')
Hernandez (38')
Gimenez (16')
Trujillo (60')
Feb 10, 2018 7pm
Almeria
0-1
Osasuna

Marreh (45'), Fernandez (75')
Rodriguez (50')
Lasso (54'), Merida (86'), Torres (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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