Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Osasuna in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Osasuna.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Osasuna |
34.27% ( -0.76) | 27.64% ( -0.21) | 38.09% ( 0.97) |
Both teams to score 48.76% ( 0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43% ( 0.72) | 57% ( -0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.11% ( 0.57) | 77.89% ( -0.58) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.65% ( -0.13) | 31.35% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.29% ( -0.15) | 67.71% ( 0.15) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.03% ( 0.93) | 28.97% ( -0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.14% ( 1.14) | 64.86% ( -1.15) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.26% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |