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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 29, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Almeria

Real Madrid
4 - 2
Almeria

Benzema (5', 17', 42' pen.), Rodrygo (47')
Junior (37'), Camavinga (74')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Lazaro (45+1'), Robertone (61')
Lazaro (66'), Mendes (67')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Almeria.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Almeria.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga fixture with Almeria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Girona 4-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, April 25 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Getafe 1-2 Almeria
Wednesday, April 26 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 3-1 Almeria

 Almeria, despite their victory last time out, have found it difficult on their travels this season, and they will be taking on a Real Madrid side looking to bounce back from a loss. The hosts will again be missing some key players, but we are expecting them to record their 21st league victory of the campaign on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 84.22%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 5.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 3-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.16%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawAlmeria
84.22% (-0.917 -0.92) 9.88% (0.5299 0.53) 5.9% (0.3881 0.39)
Both teams to score 56.37% (-0.168 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.86% (-1.178 -1.18)20.14% (1.179 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
61.7% (-1.696 -1.7)38.3% (1.698 1.7)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.64% (-0.30499999999999 -0.3)3.36% (0.3059 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.23% (-1.046 -1.05)14.77% (1.048 1.05)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.33% (0.011000000000003 0.01)41.67% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.85% (0.010000000000002 0.01)78.15% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 84.22%
    Almeria 5.9%
    Draw 9.88%
Real MadridDrawAlmeria
3-0 @ 9.12% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.06% (0.312 0.31)
3-1 @ 7.98% (0.096 0.1)
4-0 @ 7.73% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-1 @ 7.06% (0.276 0.28)
4-1 @ 6.77% (-0.106 -0.11)
5-0 @ 5.25% (-0.232 -0.23)
1-0 @ 4.75% (0.308 0.31)
5-1 @ 4.59% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.043 0.04)
6-0 @ 2.97% (-0.218 -0.22)
4-2 @ 2.96% (-0.045 -0.04)
6-1 @ 2.6% (-0.19 -0.19)
5-2 @ 2.01% (-0.088 -0.09)
7-0 @ 1.44% (-0.149 -0.15)
7-1 @ 1.26% (-0.13 -0.13)
6-2 @ 1.14% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 5.03%
Total : 84.22%
1-1 @ 4.16% (0.272 0.27)
2-2 @ 3.09% (0.122 0.12)
0-0 @ 1.4% (0.127 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 9.88%
1-2 @ 1.82% (0.119 0.12)
0-1 @ 1.23% (0.111 0.11)
2-3 @ 0.9% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 5.9%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Almeria

Real Madrid
85.5%
Draw
9.7%
Almeria
4.8%
62
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 9pm
gameweek 1
Almeria
1-2
Real Madrid
Ramazani (6')
Sadiq (40'), Curro (67'), Puigmal (86')
Vazquez (61'), Alaba (75')
Camavinga (40')
Apr 29, 2015 7pm
Real Madrid
3-0
Almeria
> Match Report
Dec 12, 2014 7.45pm
Almeria
1-4
Real Madrid
> Match Report
Apr 12, 2014 9pm
Real Madrid
4-0
Almeria
Di Maria (28'), Bale (53'), Isco (56'), Morata (84')
> Match Report
Nov 23, 2013 7pm
Almeria
0-5
Real Madrid
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011
> La Liga Full Table


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