Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Osasuna.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Real Valladolid |
39.38% ( -0.07) | 25.21% ( -0.02) | 35.41% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 56.86% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.25% ( 0.08) | 46.76% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.98% ( 0.08) | 69.02% ( -0.07) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.49% ( 0) | 23.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.46% ( 0) | 57.55% |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.34% ( 0.09) | 25.66% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.44% ( 0.12) | 60.56% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.38% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |