La Liga | Gameweek 30
Mar 31, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Real Madrid2 - 0Athletic Bilbao
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga contest with Athletic Bilbao.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Athletic Bilbao.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Osasuna 2-4 Real Madrid
Saturday, March 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, March 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves
Saturday, March 16 at 8pm in La Liga
Saturday, March 16 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Real Madrid 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
This has all of the makings of a fascinating match, and Athletic are more than capable of securing a positive result on Sunday evening. We were close to backing a draw here considering Vinicius's absence, but Bellingham's return is huge for Real Madrid, and we can see the hosts shading this match. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.43%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
59.43% ( -1.3) | 22.04% ( 0.44) | 18.53% ( 0.87) |
| Both teams to score 52.26% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
