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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Mar 31, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Athletic Bilbao logo

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Rodrygo (8', 73')
Tchouameni (57'), Nacho (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ruiz de Galarreta (87')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga contest with Athletic Bilbao.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Athletic Bilbao.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-4 Real Madrid
Saturday, March 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves
Saturday, March 16 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 2-1 Athletic Bilbao

 This has all of the makings of a fascinating match, and Athletic are more than capable of securing a positive result on Sunday evening. We were close to backing a draw here considering Vinicius's absence, but Bellingham's return is huge for Real Madrid, and we can see the hosts shading this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.43%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 18.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawAthletic Bilbao
59.43% (-1.304 -1.3) 22.04% (0.436 0.44) 18.53% (0.865 0.87)
Both teams to score 52.26% (0.222 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.25% (-0.525 -0.52)45.75% (0.522 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.93% (-0.5 -0.5)68.07% (0.49799999999999 0.5)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.98% (-0.59 -0.59)15.01% (0.588 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.51% (-1.129 -1.13)43.48% (1.126 1.13)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (0.682 0.68)38.51% (-0.684 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (0.646 0.65)75.25% (-0.64800000000001 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 59.42%
    Athletic Bilbao 18.53%
    Draw 22.04%
Real MadridDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.96% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.39% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.57% (-0.27 -0.27)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-0 @ 3.11% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.101 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 59.42%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.128 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.084 0.08)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.04%
0-1 @ 5.52% (0.221 0.22)
1-2 @ 4.99% (0.189 0.19)
0-2 @ 2.63% (0.152 0.15)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.088 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 18.53%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao

Real Madrid
81.7%
Draw
15.0%
Athletic Bilbao
3.3%
153
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 1
Athletic Bilbao
0-2
Real Madrid

Muniain (4'), Vivian (67'), Williams (87')
Rodrygo (28'), Bellingham (36')
Alaba (76')
> Preview
Jun 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 38
Real Madrid
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Benzema (72' pen.)
Ceballos (55'), Carvajal (85')
Sancet (49')
Sancet (57'), Berchiche (71')
> Match Report
Jan 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Athletic Bilbao
0-2
Real Madrid
Benzema (24'), Kroos (90')
> Preview
Feb 3, 2022 8.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Real Madrid
Berenguer (89')
Garcia (42'), de Marcos (67'), Berchiche (68')

Kroos (24'), Modric (59')
> Preview
Jan 16, 2022 6.30pm
Final
Real Madrid
0-2
Athletic Bilbao

Marcelino (51'), Garcia (77'), Alvarez (90')
Modric (38'), Benzema (52' pen.)
Militao (87')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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