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La Liga | Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Sevilla logo

Real Madrid
1 - 0
Sevilla

Modric (81')
Ancelotti (13'), Kroos (35')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ocampos (70'), Kouassi (90+1'), Sow (90+8')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Sevilla.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Sevilla.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Sevilla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 0-0 Sevilla
Saturday, February 17 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 2-1 Sevilla

Sevilla's recent form has been strong, and Real Madrid will be missing a whole host of important players on Sunday night. We are expecting this to be a tight affair, but the home side's quality, especially in the forward areas, should allow them to secure an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 70.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 12.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawSevilla
70.52% (-0.27 -0.27) 17.27% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08) 12.21% (0.344 0.34)
Both teams to score 53.18% (1.482 1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.19% (1.337 1.34)36.8% (-1.341 -1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.02% (1.437 1.44)58.97% (-1.442 -1.44)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.69% (0.28299999999999 0.28)9.3% (-0.286 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.6% (0.67099999999999 0.67)31.39% (-0.675 -0.68)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.63% (1.454 1.45)41.36% (-1.457 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.12% (1.262 1.26)77.87% (-1.265 -1.27)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 70.52%
    Sevilla 12.21%
    Draw 17.27%
Real MadridDrawSevilla
2-0 @ 10.85% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.488 -0.49)
3-0 @ 8.59% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-1 @ 7.58% (0.102 0.1)
4-0 @ 5.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.5% (0.117 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.175 0.18)
5-0 @ 2.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 2.14% (0.082 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.127 0.13)
6-0 @ 0.96% (0.012 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.94% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 70.52%
1-1 @ 8.07% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.23% (0.169 0.17)
0-0 @ 3.85% (-0.258 -0.26)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.27%
1-2 @ 3.56% (0.099 0.1)
0-1 @ 3.4% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.5% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.096 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.05% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 12.21%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Sevilla

Real Madrid
87.8%
Draw
9.6%
Sevilla
2.6%
115
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Sevilla
1-1
Real Madrid
Alaba (74' og.)
Ramos (76'), Navas (78'), Ocampos (85'), Soumare (87'), Lamela (90+7')
Carvajal (78')
Junior (85'), Ancelotti (85'), Camavinga (90+4')
May 27, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 37
Sevilla
1-2
Real Madrid
Mir (3')
Jordan (90+1'), Torres (90+7')
Acuna (83')
Rodrygo (29', 69')
Vazquez (33'), Tchouameni (65'), Nacho (84'), Ceballos (90+1')
Oct 22, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 11
Real Madrid
3-1
Sevilla
Modric (5'), Vazquez (79'), Valverde (81')
Lamela (54')
Apr 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 32
Sevilla
2-3
Real Madrid
Rakitic (21'), Lamela (25')
Martial (39'), Carlos (80'), Torres (83')
Rodrygo (50'), Nacho (82'), Benzema (90+2')
Camavinga (31'), Nacho (78'), Kroos (90+6'), Mariano (90+9')
Nov 28, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 15
Real Madrid
2-1
Sevilla
Benzema (32'), Junior (87')
Kroos (61'), Carvajal (69'), Casemiro (90+1')
Mir (12')
Acuna (34'), Montiel (55'), Ocampos (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid38298187266195
2Barcelona37257577433482
3GironaGirona38256785463981
4Atletico MadridAtletico382441070432776
5Athletic Bilbao381911861372468
6Real Sociedad3816121051391260
7Real BetisBetis38141594845357
8Villarreal381411136565053
9Valencia381310154045-549
10AlavesAlaves381210163646-1046
11Osasuna38129174556-1145
12Getafe381013154254-1243
13Celta Vigo381011174657-1141
14Sevilla371011164752-541
15Mallorca38816143344-1140
16Las PalmasLas Palmas381010183347-1440
17Rayo Vallecano38814162948-1938
RCadizCadiz38615172655-2933
RAlmeria38312234375-3221
RGranada3849253879-4121


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