La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Gran Canaria
Las Palmas0 - 2Athletic Bilbao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Getafe 3-3 Las Palmas
Saturday, March 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Saturday, March 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Barcelona
Sunday, March 3 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, March 3 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Las Palmas 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
There have only been two goals in the last three La Liga meetings between these two sides, and we are expecting another tight match on Sunday. Athletic need to win to stay in the top-four race, but Las Palmas have been so impressive this season, and we are expecting the hosts to be good enough for a point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
26.9% ( -0.08) | 26.73% ( 0.03) | 46.37% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.32% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
