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Las Palmas
La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Gran Canaria
Athletic Bilbao logo

Las Palmas
0 - 2
Athletic Bilbao


Coco (64'), Cardona (81'), Valles (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guruzeta (31'), Coco (65' og.)
Vivian (48'), de Marcos (67'), Paredes (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Las Palmas and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 3-3 Las Palmas
Saturday, March 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Las Palmas 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

There have only been two goals in the last three La Liga meetings between these two sides, and we are expecting another tight match on Sunday. Athletic need to win to stay in the top-four race, but Las Palmas have been so impressive this season, and we are expecting the hosts to be good enough for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Las PalmasDrawAthletic Bilbao
26.9% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08) 26.73% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 46.37% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 48.32% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.92% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)56.07% (0.144 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.85% (-0.122 -0.12)77.15% (0.116 0.12)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.71% (-0.148 -0.15)36.29% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.92% (-0.149 -0.15)73.07% (0.14399999999999 0.14)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)24.16% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.52% (-0.061 -0.06)58.47% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Las Palmas 26.9%
    Athletic Bilbao 46.37%
    Draw 26.73%
Las PalmasDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 8.89% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.4% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.5% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.52% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.9%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.77% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 12.45% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.85% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.25% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.19% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 46.37%

How you voted: Las Palmas vs Athletic Bilbao

Las Palmas
20.0%
Draw
26.7%
Athletic Bilbao
53.3%
60
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Las Palmas
Gomez (90+4')
Williams (90+6')

Araujo (38'), Perrone (68'), Cardona (90+6')
Feb 9, 2018 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-0
Las Palmas
Aduriz (12'), Saborit (51'), Arrizabalaga (52'), Garcia (77')
Navarro (12'), Calleri (41'), Macedo (59'), Chichizola (79')
Sep 17, 2017 5.30pm
Apr 14, 2017 7.45pm
Athletic Bilbao
5-1
Las Palmas
San Jose (7'), Muniain (9', 58'), Aduriz (18', 59')
San Jose (66')
Bigas (12')
Viera (60'), Livaja (89')
Nov 28, 2016 7.45pm
Las Palmas
3-1
Athletic Bilbao
Boateng (40'), Momo (50'), Viera (90')
Mesa (55'), Livaja (58'), Viera (85')
Garcia (79' pen.)
Laporte (31'), Benat (38'), Alvarez (65'), Aduriz (74'), Garcia (87')
Aduriz (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid31246167204778
2Barcelona31217362342870
3GironaGirona31205663392465
4Atletico MadridAtletico31194859362361
5Athletic Bilbao31169651292257
6Real Sociedad311311745331250
7Valencia31138103432247
8Real BetisBetis31111283837145
9Villarreal31109124954-539
10Getafe31912103743-639
11Osasuna31116143644-839
12Las PalmasLas Palmas31107142935-637
13Sevilla31810133944-534
14AlavesAlaves3188152638-1232
15Mallorca31613122536-1131
16Rayo Vallecano31613122538-1331
17Celta Vigo31610153346-1328
18CadizCadiz31413142141-2025
19Granada3138203260-2817
20Almeria31111193062-3214


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