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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Real Madrid logo

Osasuna
2 - 4
Real Madrid

Budimir (7'), Munoz (90+1')
Herrando (31'), Torro (55'), Garcia (63')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Junior (4', 64'), Carvajal (18'), Diaz (61')
Junior (44'), Camavinga (53')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga contest with Osasuna.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Osasuna.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 2-0 Osasuna
Saturday, March 9 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Osasuna 1-2 Real Madrid

This has the potential to be a very difficult match for Real Madrid, and both Girona and Barcelona will be looking for a favour from Osasuna. It would not be a surprise to see a draw here, but we just have a feeling that Ancelotti's side will be able to navigate their way to another big three points in the title race. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawReal Madrid
20.6% (-0.271 -0.27) 23.55% (-0.226 -0.23) 55.85% (0.497 0.5)
Both teams to score 50.92% (0.298 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.75% (0.592 0.59)49.25% (-0.591 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.69% (0.533 0.53)71.3% (-0.53099999999999 -0.53)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.7% (0.062000000000005 0.06)38.3% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.94% (0.058 0.06)75.06% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.53% (0.40100000000001 0.4)17.46% (-0.4 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.06% (0.693 0.69)47.94% (-0.691 -0.69)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 20.6%
    Real Madrid 55.84%
    Draw 23.55%
OsasunaDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 6.42% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-1 @ 5.38% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.08% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.72% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.5% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 0.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 20.6%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 11.67% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 10.18% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.77% (0.034999999999998 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.92% (0.088 0.09)
1-3 @ 5.69% (0.093 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.049 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.58% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.48% (0.072 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.036 0.04)
0-5 @ 0.9% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 55.84%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Real Madrid

Osasuna
9.6%
Draw
10.8%
Real Madrid
79.5%
166
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 9
Real Madrid
4-0
Osasuna
Bellingham (9', 54'), Junior (65'), Joselu (70')
Rudiger (40'), Tchouameni (59')

Barja (83'), Ibanez (83')
May 6, 2023 9pm
Feb 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 22
Osasuna
0-2
Real Madrid
Valverde (78'), Asensio (90+2')
Oct 2, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Real Madrid
1-1
Osasuna
Junior (42')
Kike (50')
Apr 20, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Osasuna
1-3
Real Madrid
Budimir (13')
Brasanac (44')
Alaba (12'), Asensio (45'), Vazquez (90+6')
Camavinga (5'), Militao (60'), Nacho (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid31246167204778
2Barcelona31217362342870
3GironaGirona31205663392465
4Atletico MadridAtletico31194859362361
5Athletic Bilbao31169651292257
6Real Sociedad311311745331250
7Valencia31138103432247
8Real BetisBetis31111283837145
9Villarreal31109124954-539
10Getafe31912103743-639
11Osasuna31116143644-839
12Las PalmasLas Palmas31107142935-637
13Sevilla31810133944-534
14AlavesAlaves3188152638-1232
15Mallorca31613122536-1131
16Rayo Vallecano31613122538-1331
17Celta Vigo31610153346-1328
18CadizCadiz31413142141-2025
19Granada3138203260-2817
20Almeria31111193062-3214


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