La Liga | Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Real Madrid1 - 1Athletic Bilbao
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up against Athletic Bilbao on Sunday night.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Athletic Bilbao.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sevilla 1-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 27 at 6pm in La Liga
Saturday, May 27 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Elche
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga
We said: Real Madrid 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Athletic have a lot to fight for on the final matchday of the campaign, but the Basque outfit are again expected to be missing some important players, which could cost them the chance to pick up a positive result. Real Madrid will also be looking to secure the victory which would guarantee second, and we are expecting the home side to collect all three points at Bernabeu. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 21.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
55.72% ( 2.6) | 22.74% ( -1) | 21.54% ( -1.59) |
| Both teams to score 54.91% ( 1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
