MX23RW : Monday, April 15 03:28:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alaves logo
Almeria
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Cadiz logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Granada logo
Las Palmas
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
Real Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Athletic Bilbao logo

Real Madrid
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Benzema (72' pen.)
Ceballos (55'), Carvajal (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sancet (49')
Sancet (57'), Berchiche (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up against Athletic Bilbao on Sunday night.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Athletic Bilbao.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Real Madrid 2-1 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic have a lot to fight for on the final matchday of the campaign, but the Basque outfit are again expected to be missing some important players, which could cost them the chance to pick up a positive result. Real Madrid will also be looking to secure the victory which would guarantee second, and we are expecting the home side to collect all three points at Bernabeu. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 21.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Real MadridDrawAthletic Bilbao
55.72% (2.602 2.6) 22.74% (-1.004 -1) 21.54% (-1.594 -1.59)
Both teams to score 54.91% (1.163 1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.38% (2.559 2.56)44.62% (-2.556 -2.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.01% (2.426 2.43)66.99% (-2.424 -2.42)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.14% (1.85 1.85)15.86% (-1.847 -1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.94% (3.303 3.3)45.06% (-3.3 -3.3)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)34.74% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.53% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)71.47% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 55.72%
    Athletic Bilbao 21.54%
    Draw 22.73%
Real MadridDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.131 0.13)
2-0 @ 9.34% (0.138 0.14)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.438 0.44)
3-0 @ 5.73% (0.423 0.42)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.228 0.23)
4-1 @ 2.79% (0.357 0.36)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.341 0.34)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.186 0.19)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.185 0.19)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.176 0.18)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 55.72%
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.53 -0.53)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.632 -0.63)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.061 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.73%
0-1 @ 5.83% (-0.678 -0.68)
1-2 @ 5.67% (-0.291 -0.29)
0-2 @ 3.08% (-0.364 -0.36)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 21.54%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao

Real Madrid
77.8%
Draw
14.1%
Athletic Bilbao
8.1%
99
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 8pm
Feb 3, 2022 8.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Real Madrid
Berenguer (89')
Garcia (42'), de Marcos (67'), Berchiche (68')

Kroos (24'), Modric (59')
Jan 16, 2022 6.30pm
Final
Real Madrid
0-2
Athletic Bilbao

Marcelino (51'), Garcia (77'), Alvarez (90')
Modric (38'), Benzema (52' pen.)
Militao (87')
Dec 22, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 21
Athletic Bilbao
1-2
Real Madrid
Sancet (10')
Vencedor (43'), Garcia (61')
Benzema (4', 7')
Junior (42'), Camavinga (62')
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
gameweek 9
Real Madrid
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Benzema (40')
Modric (68'), Casemiro (77')

Zarraga (31'), Lekue (43'), Williams (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid31246167204778
2Barcelona31217362342870
3GironaGirona31205663392465
4Atletico MadridAtletico31194859362361
5Athletic Bilbao31169651292257
6Real Sociedad311311745331250
7Real BetisBetis31111283837145
8Valencia30128103332144
9Villarreal31109124954-539
10Getafe31912103743-639
11Osasuna30116133643-739
12Las PalmasLas Palmas31107142935-637
13Sevilla31810133944-534
14AlavesAlaves3188152638-1232
15Mallorca31613122536-1131
16Rayo Vallecano31613122538-1331
17Celta Vigo31610153346-1328
18CadizCadiz31413142141-2025
19Granada3138203260-2817
20Almeria31111193062-3214


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!