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La Liga
Sevilla logo
La Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Cadiz logo

Sevilla
1 - 0
Cadiz

Rakitic (89' pen.)
Lamela (33'), Sampaoli (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Espino (34'), Sobrino (45'), Alejo (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Sevilla
Tuesday, January 17 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Cadiz

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 1-1 Elche
Monday, January 16 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 2-1 Cadiz

 This is such a difficult match to call for a number of reasons. On paper, Sevilla are the favourites, but they have really struggled this season, and their home form has been so disappointing. Cadiz are also not losing at the moment, but we just have a feeling that Sevilla could navigate their way to a huge three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 18.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sevilla.

Result
SevillaDrawCadiz
57.9% (0.077000000000005 0.08) 23.72% (0.106 0.11) 18.38% (-0.187 -0.19)
Both teams to score 46.92% (-0.62 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.25% (-0.66 -0.66)52.75% (0.656 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.62% (-0.569 -0.57)74.38% (0.56400000000001 0.56)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (-0.218 -0.22)18% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.13% (-0.37 -0.37)48.86% (0.365 0.37)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.22% (-0.605 -0.6)42.78% (0.6 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.89% (-0.517 -0.52)79.1% (0.51300000000001 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 57.9%
    Cadiz 18.38%
    Draw 23.71%
SevillaDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 13.2% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 11.32% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.47% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.78% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 57.9%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.7% (0.197 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 23.71%
0-1 @ 6.54% (0.062 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 18.38%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Cadiz

Sevilla
75.7%
Draw
10.8%
Cadiz
13.5%
74
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2022 8pm
Sevilla
1-1
Cadiz
En-Nesyri (7')
Papu (61'), Navas (78')
Perez (66')
Jonsson (17'), Espino (90')
Jan 3, 2022 8.15pm
Cadiz
0-1
Sevilla
Ocampos (58')
Augustinsson (79')
Jan 23, 2021 3.15pm
Sevilla
3-0
Cadiz
En-Nesyri (35', 39', 62')
Gudelj (90+4')

Alcala (37'), Perea (45'), Salvi (45+1'), Cala (81')
Sep 27, 2020 5.30pm
Cadiz
1-3
Sevilla
Sanchez Ponce (48')
Cala (78'), Fernandez (90'), Mauro (90+1'), Fali (90+6'), Fali (90+6')
De Jong (65'), El Haddadi (90'), Rakitic (90+4')
Gudelj (58'), Suso (67')
Jan 11, 2018 6.30pm
Fifth Round
Sevilla
2-1
Cadiz
Ben Yedder (31'), Correa (54')
Garcia (86')
Olivan (26'), Gonzalez (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid19134243192443
2Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia1826101728-1112
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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