League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 4
Mar 3, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Richmond Park
St Patrick's2 - 0Derry
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Derry City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Patrick's 4-3 Sligo
Friday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
5
Last Game: Derry 1-2 Waterford
Friday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
3
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Derry City |
43.09% ( -0.02) | 27.1% ( 0.2) | 29.81% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 49% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.94% ( -0.81) | 56.06% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.86% ( -0.66) | 77.14% ( 0.66) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.22% ( -0.38) | 25.78% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.28% ( -0.52) | 60.72% ( 0.52) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.01% ( -0.55) | 33.99% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.33% ( -0.61) | 70.67% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
St Patrick's Athletic 43.09%
Derry City 29.81%
Draw 27.1%
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 43.09% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.32% Total : 29.81% |
How you voted: St Patrick's vs Derry
St Patrick's Athletic
100%Draw
0.0%Derry City
0.0%7
Form Guide
