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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Burton Albion

Cambridge
1 - 0
Burton Albion

Cousins (84')
Bennett (39'), Andrew (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bennett (5'), Watt (23'), Bodin (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 0-2 Cambridge
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-3 Wycombe
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 2-1 Burton Albion

Cambridge will have a renewed sense of belief after recording back-to-back victories, and we think that they will continue to build momentum by claiming a narrow home victory to condemn their relegation rivals to a seventh consecutive league defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cambridge United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cambridge United.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawBurton Albion
41.64% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 26.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 31.92% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.91% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.25% (0.012 0.01)52.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.62% (0.010999999999999 0.01)74.38% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97% (0.016000000000005 0.02)25.02% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.31% (0.021000000000001 0.02)59.69% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.23% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)30.76% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)67.03% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 41.64%
    Burton Albion 31.92%
    Draw 26.43%
Cambridge UnitedDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 10.66%
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 41.64%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 31.92%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Burton Albion

Cambridge United
50.0%
Draw
38.9%
Burton Albion
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Cambridge
0-0
Burton Albion
Harris (21'), Morrison (45+1'), Andrew (56'), Taylor (90+4'), Lankester (90+10')
Moon (20'), Seddon (64'), Oshilaja (69'), Carayol (74'), Bennett (87'), Crocombe (90+7')
Seddon (64')
Oct 9, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 12
Burton Albion
2-1
Cambridge
Walker (10'), Oshilaja (31')
Baah (53'), Bennett (90')
May 3, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Cambridge
4-3
Burton Albion
Smith (34', 53', 69'), O'Neil (79')
Digby (38'), Lankester (90+6')
Ahadme (1', 67'), Brayford (41')
Hamer (19'), Ahadme (27'), Brayford (51'), Borthwick-Jackson (90+7')
Smith (10')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Burton Albion
2-2
Cambridge
Yahyai (2' pen.), Kokolo (62')
Gilligan (24')
Knibbs (25'), Smith (72')
Sherring (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham28206250193166
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport31159747301754
5Charlton AthleticCharlton30148840291150
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield29147841261549
7Leyton Orient291451043251847
8Bolton WanderersBolton30145114746147
9Reading30137104442246
10Barnsley30127114241143
11Blackpool3091384241140
12Lincoln CityLincoln301010103635140
13Stevenage29117112830-240
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham30108123435-138
15Mansfield TownMansfield29114143538-337
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Northampton TownNorthampton3089132945-1633
18Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
19Bristol Rovers2995152945-1632
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough3086164657-1130
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3076173150-1927
22Crawley TownCrawley2976163353-2027
23Burton Albion30511143145-1426
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge3058173055-2523


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