Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Crawley Town in this match.