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League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Peterborough United

Derby
2 - 3
Peterborough

Collins (1', 60')
Forsyth (41')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Burrows (9'), Poku (84'), Jade-Jones (90+4')
Kyprianou (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Derby County and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-3 Derby
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-2 Barnsley
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Derby County 2-1 Peterborough United

 With both teams sitting level on 46 points, we expect Monday's contest to be a close-fought affair, but we think that Derby may do just enough to claim the spoils after winning five of their last six home league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawPeterborough United
44.37% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08) 23.77% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 31.85% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 60.89% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.96% (0.085000000000001 0.09)41.04% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.57% (0.087000000000003 0.09)63.43% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22% (0.0010000000000048 0)18.77% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.82% (0.0020000000000024 0)50.17% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96% (0.097999999999999 0.1)25.03% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29% (0.133 0.13)59.7% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 44.37%
    Peterborough United 31.85%
    Draw 23.77%
Derby CountyDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.86% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.58% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 44.37%
1-1 @ 10.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.51% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.08% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 31.85%

How you voted: Derby vs Peterborough

Derby County
70.8%
Draw
16.7%
Peterborough United
12.5%
24
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Peterborough
2-4
Derby
Clarke-Harris (23'), Poku (90')
Burrows (38'), Ferguson (39'), Kioso (67')
Ferguson (0')
Waghorn (29', 39', 45'), Cashin (37')
Forsyth (86')
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Peterborough
2-0
Derby
Mason-Clark (52'), Ogbeta (83')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Derby
2-1
Peterborough
Knight (88'), McGoldrick (90+2')
Stearman (64')
Knight (69')
Taylor (26'), Thompson (30'), Burrows (41')
Thompson (56')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Derby
1-0
Peterborough
Sibley (90+2')
Byrne (76'), Davies (80'), Sibley (90+3'), Allsop (90+4'), Morrison (90+7')
Lawrence (47')

Coulson (31'), Brown (59'), Jade-Jones (70'), Thompson (76'), Knight (87')
Coulson (35')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 2
Peterborough
2-1
Derby
Burrows (90+1'), Dembele (90+9')
Beevers (25'), Thompson (63'), Butler (83'), Dembele (90+9')
Stretton (77')
Sibley (90+1'), Forsyth (90+3')
> Match Report
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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