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League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Peterborough United

Derby
2 - 3
Peterborough

Collins (1', 60')
Forsyth (41')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Burrows (9'), Poku (84'), Jade-Jones (90+4')
Kyprianou (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Derby County and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-3 Derby
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-2 Barnsley
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Derby County 2-1 Peterborough United

 With both teams sitting level on 46 points, we expect Monday's contest to be a close-fought affair, but we think that Derby may do just enough to claim the spoils after winning five of their last six home league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawPeterborough United
44.37% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08) 23.77% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 31.85% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 60.89% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.96% (0.085000000000001 0.09)41.04% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.57% (0.087000000000003 0.09)63.43% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22% (0.0010000000000048 0)18.77% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.82% (0.0020000000000024 0)50.17% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96% (0.097999999999999 0.1)25.03% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29% (0.133 0.13)59.7% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 44.37%
    Peterborough United 31.85%
    Draw 23.77%
Derby CountyDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.86% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.58% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 44.37%
1-1 @ 10.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.51% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.08% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 31.85%

How you voted: Derby vs Peterborough

Derby County
70.8%
Draw
16.7%
Peterborough United
12.5%
24
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Peterborough
2-4
Derby
Clarke-Harris (23'), Poku (90')
Burrows (38'), Ferguson (39'), Kioso (67')
Ferguson (0')
Waghorn (29', 39', 45'), Cashin (37')
Forsyth (86')
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Peterborough
2-0
Derby
Mason-Clark (52'), Ogbeta (83')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Derby
2-1
Peterborough
Knight (88'), McGoldrick (90+2')
Stearman (64')
Knight (69')
Taylor (26'), Thompson (30'), Burrows (41')
Thompson (56')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Derby
1-0
Peterborough
Sibley (90+2')
Byrne (76'), Davies (80'), Sibley (90+3'), Allsop (90+4'), Morrison (90+7')
Lawrence (47')

Coulson (31'), Brown (59'), Jade-Jones (70'), Thompson (76'), Knight (87')
Coulson (35')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 2
Peterborough
2-1
Derby
Burrows (90+1'), Dembele (90+9')
Beevers (25'), Thompson (63'), Butler (83'), Dembele (90+9')
Stretton (77')
Sibley (90+1'), Forsyth (90+3')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
> League One Full Table


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