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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Bolton logo

Exeter
2 - 2
Bolton

Cox (46', 49')
Aitchison (73'), Sweeney (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Maghoma (33'), Toal (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Bolton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

Exeter have only picked up one point from their last four games, and things are unlikely to get any easier for them against one of the strongest teams in the division on Saturday. Bolton should be riding high after coming from two goals behind to claim a precious point away to their promotion rivals Barnsley in midweek, while the potential return of Charles to their travelling squad will provide another boost. We expect them to claim a narrow victory and remain in the top two positions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 50.41%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-0 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBolton Wanderers
24.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.96% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 50.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.57% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)50.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)72.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.61%35.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.85% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)72.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.81% (0.0049999999999955 0)20.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.51% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)52.49% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 24.63%
    Bolton Wanderers 50.41%
    Draw 24.96%
Exeter CityDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 6.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 3.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 1.71%
3-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2%
Total : 24.63%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 7.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 11.43%
1-2 @ 9.5%
0-2 @ 9.14%
1-3 @ 5.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 2.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 50.41%

How you voted: Exeter vs Bolton

Exeter City
8.0%
Draw
16.0%
Bolton Wanderers
76.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Bolton
7-0
Exeter
Iredale (34'), Adeboyejo (43'), Maghoma (55'), Charles (63', 74'), Dempsey (86'), N'Lundulu (90+2')

Jules (18')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Exeter
0-1
Bolton
Bradley (27')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bolton
2-0
Exeter
Bradley (8'), Charles (26')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bolton
1-2
Exeter
Jones (15')
Baptiste (32'), Williams (37')
Williams (49'), Sweeney (90+6')
Key (27'), Hartridge (29'), Willmott (42'), Taylor (79'), Sparkes (84')
Jan 12, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Exeter
1-1
Bolton
Santos (62' og.)
Atangana (67')
Gnahoua (73')
Sarcevic (53'), Brockbank (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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