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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 13
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
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Barnsley
2 - 2
Bolton

McAtee (25'), Pines (47')
McAtee (32'), Williams (90+11')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Adeboyejo (62'), Williams (90+8')
Thomason (11'), Iredale (90+10'), Jerome (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Barnsley and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 2-4 Barnsley
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Cambridge
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-2 Bolton Wanderers

Both teams will be desperate to claim all three points to aid their promotion bids, but after playing out a draw in February's reverse fixture, we think that the two closely-matched sides may have to settle for a share of the spoils once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBolton Wanderers
39.71% (-0.124 -0.12) 25.37% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06) 34.92% (0.192 0.19)
Both teams to score 56.23% (0.253 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.46% (0.312 0.31)47.54% (-0.305 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.26% (0.287 0.29)69.74% (-0.283 -0.28)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (0.076000000000008 0.08)23.68% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2% (0.107 0.11)57.8% (-0.103 -0.1)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.68% (0.262 0.26)26.32% (-0.257 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.55% (0.346 0.35)61.45% (-0.342 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 39.71%
    Bolton Wanderers 34.92%
    Draw 25.37%
BarnsleyDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.98% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.47% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.14% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 39.71%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 8.32% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.47% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 34.92%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Bolton

Barnsley
47.1%
Draw
11.8%
Bolton Wanderers
41.2%
68
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Bolton
1-1
Barnsley
Ashworth (64')
Maghoma (18'), Dempsey (84')
Cole (5')
Durand de Gevigney (2'), Connell (35'), Williams (47'), Cole (90+1')
May 19, 2023 8pm
May 13, 2023 3pm
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Barnsley
0-3
Bolton
Charles (12' pen.), Dadi Bodvarsson (41'), Dempsey (76')
Nov 5, 2022 2pm
First Round
Bolton
1-2
Barnsley
Santos (6' og.), Phillips (33')
rhs 2.0
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