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League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Cambridge United

Bolton
2 - 0
Cambridge

Thomason (35'), Collins (66')
Adeboyejo (28'), Cogley (46'), Thomason (70'), Dempsey (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kaikai (41'), Morrison (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Bolton
Tuesday, February 27 at 8.15pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Cambridge United

Bolton appear to be struggling for goals since Charles's knee injury, while Cambridge have failed to score in both matches under Corr's caretaker management. The Trotters edged it 2-1 when these sides met last month, and we are predicting another narrow victory for the hosts ahead of a crucial promotion clash against Barnsley in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 15.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCambridge United
64.52% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 19.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 15.93% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.02% (0.036000000000001 0.04)38.98% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.7% (0.040999999999997 0.04)61.3% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.6% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)11.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.86% (0.0010000000000048 0)36.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.5% (0.060000000000002 0.06)37.5% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.72% (0.058 0.06)74.28% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 64.51%
    Cambridge United 15.93%
    Draw 19.54%
Bolton WanderersDrawCambridge United
2-0 @ 10.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89%
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.96% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.72% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 64.51%
1-1 @ 9.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.54%
1-2 @ 4.46% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 15.93%

How you voted: Bolton vs Cambridge

Bolton Wanderers
85.0%
Draw
15.0%
Cambridge United
0.0%
20
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Cambridge
1-2
Bolton
Toal (8' og.)
Cousins (40'), Kachunga (41'), Morrison (63')
Taylor (90+1')
Maghoma (52'), Mendes Gomes (63')
Sheehan (22'), Iredale (90+1')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Bolton
1-1
Cambridge
John (67')
Smith (90+5')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Feb 1, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Bolton
2-0
Cambridge
Bakayoko (39'), Afolayan (70')
Williams (87')

Mitov (42')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Cambridge
1-0
Bolton
Tracey (16')
Iredale (17'), Digby (38'), Hoolahan (54'), O'Neil (73')

Williams (13'), Sarcevic (29'), Santos (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth432613472373591
2Derby CountyDerby442681075373886
3Bolton WanderersBolton432410979463382
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough422381180552577
5Barnsley4321121077572075
6Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4321101276532373
7Blackpool4420101460431770
8Lincoln CityLincoln4318141162372568
9Stevenage4418131354441067
10Leyton Orient441711165053-362
11Northampton TownNorthampton44178195563-859
12Exeter CityExeter441610184358-1558
13Wigan AthleticWigan441810165955456
14Wycombe WanderersWycombe421413155352155
15Bristol Rovers43159195164-1354
16Charlton AthleticCharlton441119146363052
17Reading441511186365-250
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge421210203858-2046
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury43137233161-3046
20Burton Albion431110223560-2543
21Port Vale431010234070-3040
22Cheltenham TownCheltenham42108243560-2538
23Fleetwood TownFleetwood43813224468-2437
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4479284076-3630


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