Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.