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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Portsmouth

Lincoln
0 - 0
Portsmouth


Mandroiu (45+3'), Eyoma (90+2')
FT

Morrell (5'), Rafferty (33'), Hackett-Fairchild (56'), Pigott (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 1-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Burton Albion
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Portsmouth

Lincoln are yet to lose a home game in League One this season, but they have had a habit of drawing games with 11 of their 14 home league matches ending all square, and we think that they could be involved in another draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawPortsmouth
38.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 26.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 34.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 52.87% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.15% (0.011000000000003 0.01)51.85% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.39% (0.009999999999998 0.01)73.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)26.21% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (0.011000000000003 0.01)61.3% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (0.0049999999999955 0)28.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (0.0039999999999978 0)64.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 38.64%
    Portsmouth 34.98%
    Draw 26.37%
Lincoln CityDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 9.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.4% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 6.66%
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 38.64%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 7.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.32%
0-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.98%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Portsmouth

Lincoln City
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Portsmouth
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
3-2
Lincoln
Hirst (50' pen.), Jacobs (68'), Curtis (82')
Thompson (33')
Bishop (70'), House (78')
Jackson (68')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Lincoln
0-3
Portsmouth

Montsma (60'), Maguire (84')
Harness (45+3'), Hirst (66'), Hackett-Fairchild (89')
Raggett (28'), Morrell (32')
Jan 26, 2021 7pm
Portsmouth
0-1
Lincoln

Harness (16'), Raggett (22')
Whatmough (29')
Rogers (79')
Edun (32'), Jackson (88'), McGrandles (90+1')
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Lincoln
1-3
Portsmouth
Hopper (73')
Grant (90+4')
Marquis (5', 50'), Curtis (61')
Curtis (57'), Marquis (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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