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Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Cambridge United

Morecambe
1 - 2
Cambridge

Weir (12')
Weir (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lankester (32'), Knibbs (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Morecambe and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 0-0 Hartlepool
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Northampton 0-2 Cambridge
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Morecambe 1-2 Cambridge United

Recent setbacks in League One have taken the gloss off a bright start for Cambridge this term, and they will surely not suffer a third straight loss at the hands of Morecambe. The hosts have enjoyed improved fortunes of late, but remain vulnerable defensively and are likely to concede more than once. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Cambridge United in this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawCambridge United
37.92% (0.179 0.18) 27.59% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 34.49% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 48.97% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.24% (0.202 0.2)56.76% (-0.20500000000001 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.29% (0.161 0.16)77.7% (-0.163 -0.16)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (0.20400000000001 0.2)28.95% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16% (0.253 0.25)64.84% (-0.256 -0.26)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (0.021000000000001 0.02)31.08% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (0.025999999999996 0.03)67.39% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 37.92%
    Cambridge United 34.49%
    Draw 27.58%
MorecambeDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.91% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 37.92%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.58%
0-1 @ 10.51% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.49%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Cambridge

Morecambe
30.8%
Draw
17.3%
Cambridge United
51.9%
52
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Cambridge
2-1
Morecambe
Smith (42'), Ironside (71' pen.)
Stockton (68')
Fane (51')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Morecambe
0-2
Cambridge

McDonald (19'), Stockton (45+1'), Ayunga (54'), Price (64')
Worman (28'), Ironside (72' pen.)
Lankester (29'), Smith (78')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Cambridge
2-1
Morecambe
Mullin (18', 81' pen.)
Taylor (83'), Ironside (87'), Digby (90+3'), Burton (90+4')
Price (88')
Mendes Gomes (51'), Wildig (82')
Gibson (55')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Morecambe
0-5
Cambridge

Diagouraga (58'), Mendes Gomes (60')
Hoolahan (29'), Turner (34' og.), May (37'), Mullin (54', 64')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Morecambe
1-1
Cambridge
Phillips (46')
Phillips (55'), Slew (60'), Cooney (92')
Knibbs (68')
Lewis (25'), Maris (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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