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League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Oxford Utd
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Bodin (13'), Long (81')
Brannagan (15'), Moore (46'), Smyth (90')
Smyth (90+5'), Mills (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Collins (89')
Barton (16'), Martin (48'), Brown (57'), Finley (78')
Brown (63')
Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Bristol Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
50.24% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05) 24.05% (0.017999999999997 0.02) 25.71% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.54% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.86% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)46.14% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.56% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)68.43% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)18.41% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.44% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)49.56% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.07% (0.0040000000000049 0)31.93% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.62% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.38% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 50.24%
    Bristol Rovers 25.71%
    Draw 24.05%
Oxford UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 50.24%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.88% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.05%
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.48% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 25.71%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Bristol Rovers

Oxford United
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Bristol Rovers
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 34
Oxford Utd
0-3
Bristol Rovers
Sinclair (22' pen.), Collins (28'), Hoole (75')
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Oxford Utd
Marquis (34')
Saunders (65'), Grant (90+2')

Seddon (29'), Moore (40'), Brannagan (90+3')
Nov 16, 2021 7pm
First Round Replays
Bristol Rovers
4-3
Oxford Utd
Finley (48'), Spence (110', 118'), Collins (115')
Evans (50'), Spence (107')
Taylor (57' pen.), Bodin (91'), Seddon (93')
Kane (4'), Bodin (38')
Nov 7, 2021 1pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
2-2
Bristol Rovers
Taylor (11'), McGuane (51')
Taylor (32')
Finley (45+2'), Evans (87' pen.)
Finley (33'), Coutts (45')
Feb 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 19
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Oxford Utd

Ayunga (90')
Lee (29'), Barker (90+2')
Sykes (82'), Brannagan (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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