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League One | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
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Charlton Athletic

Reading
2 - 0
Charlton

Savage (66'), Smith (76')
Mbengue (34'), Smith (77'), Dean (85'), Abretti (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Berry (20'), Godden (76'), Jones (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Reading
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-0 Bolton
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Reading 0-1 Charlton Athletic

While Reading's form has been up and down, they have demonstrated that they can pose a threat to teams if afforded time and space on the ball. Charlton meanwhile have a miserly defence and have proven that they do not need to have more possession or create more chances than their opponents to take all three points, and Saturday's game could prove to be yet another example of that. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawCharlton Athletic
38.54%25.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 35.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.7% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.45% (0.021999999999998 0.02)49.55% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.42% (0.02 0.02)71.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05% (0.012999999999998 0.01)59.95% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14% (0.013999999999996 0.01)26.86% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.83% (0.018000000000001 0.02)62.16% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Reading 38.54%
    Charlton Athletic 35.62%
    Draw 25.84%
ReadingDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 9.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.95%
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 38.54%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 8.9% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.06% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 35.62%

How you voted: Reading vs Charlton

Reading
14.3%
Draw
25.0%
Charlton Athletic
60.7%
28
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Reading
2-0
Charlton
Azeez (66', 76')
Savage (86')

Edun (64')
Dec 6, 2023 7pm
Second Round
Reading
1-1
Charlton
(Aggregate 1-1 | Reading win 4-2 on penalties)
Savage (81')
Carson (46')
May (42')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Charlton
4-0
Reading
Aneke (54'), Campbell (68'), May (74'), Leaburn (90+4')
Jul 24, 2021 2pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Reading
1-1
Charlton
Ejaria (38')
Ghandour (80')
Jul 11, 2020 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
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