Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 54.47%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 22.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.