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Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 26
Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Grimsby Town

Crawley
1 - 1
Grimsby Town

Telford (87' pen.)
Oteh (19'), Lynch (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Clifton (42')
Khan (33'), Crocombe (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 2-0 Rochdale
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Grimsby Town

Both teams are undefeated in their last four League Two games, and so it is too difficult to pick a winner, with the most likely result being a draw. Crawley are a much-improved since they last took on Grimsby, losing 3-0 at Blundell Park back at the beginning of October, and a victory could do them the world of good in their bid to avoid relegation, potentially able to move seven points clear of the bottom two. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawGrimsby Town
45.66% (0.087999999999994 0.09) 26.87% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 27.47% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.33% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.73% (0.023999999999994 0.02)56.26% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.69% (0.02 0.02)77.3% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42% (0.052999999999997 0.05)24.58% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93% (0.074999999999996 0.07)59.07% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)35.92% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.3% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)72.7% (0.044999999999987 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 45.65%
    Grimsby Town 27.47%
    Draw 26.86%
Crawley TownDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 12.38%
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 45.65%
1-1 @ 12.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.83% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.04% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 27.47%

How you voted: Crawley vs Grimsby Town

Crawley Town
45.7%
Draw
17.1%
Grimsby Town
37.1%
35
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Grimsby Town
2-1
Crawley
Morais (21'), Adams (79')
Bunney (69'), Adams (70'), Hewitt (85'), (88'), Bunney (90+3')
Bunney (90+3')
Powell (30')
Wright (32'), Hessenthaler (90')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Crawley
1-2
Grimsby Town
Watters (4')
Powell (78'), Watters (80')
Green (35'), Wright (51')
Hewitt (80')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Crawley
3-2
Grimsby Town
Palmer (16', 69'), Nadesan (77')
Nadesan (58'), Doherty (85')
Whitehouse (21'), Hanson (32')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421


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