Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 25.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.