Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 46.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 26.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
