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Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 19
Feb 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Carlisle United

Newport
vs.
Carlisle

Preview: Newport County vs. Carlisle United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

As the threat of relegation looms, Mark Hughes's Carlisle United will travel to Rodney Parade to take on Newport County in Tuesday's League Two action.

The Exiles are in particularly strong form at the moment and will be looking to make it four wins on the bounce in midweek, while the Cumbrians remain rooted to the bottom of the table and are desperate for points.


Match preview

Newport County head coach Nelson Jardim on October 7, 2024© Imago

Nelson Jardim's Newport County have bounced back from a five-game loss streak to record three consecutive wins leading up to Tuesday's clash, and taking anything from the match would take extend their unbeaten run to five.

Last time out, the Exiles impressively beat promotion hopefuls Crewe Alexandra 3-0 thanks to goals from Cameron Antwi, Peterborough United loanee David Ajiboye and former Railwaymen striker Courtney Baker-Richardson.

That win moved Jardim's side to 17th in the table, where they are now 12 points behind the playoff spots but also 13 ahead of Morecambe in the relegation zone.

At Rodney Parade, Tuesday's hosts have won three of their last five, including an entertaining nine-goal clash against MK Dons before Christmas, and while their form has not been perfect, they should feel confident on their own turf against one of the division's weakest teams.

In midweek, Newport will be looking upwards and wondering what the remaining 17 games of the season could bring them now that they seem increasingly safe from the drop, and another three points could take them as high as 14th if results elsewhere prove favourable.

 Daniel Adu-Adjei  of Carlisle United pictured on November 15, 2024© Imago

Meanwhile, Mark Hughes's Carlisle are the EFL's bottom club, and if they are to survive in the football league, then they will need to pick up approximately 40 percent of the points available to them over the rest of the season according to some calculations.

Hughes replaced former boss Mike Williamson in the dugout after the Cumbrians were beaten 5-1 by Swindon Town on February 1, though the Wales legend and Manchester United great tasted defeat in his first game in charge.

Tuesday's visitors were beaten 2-1 on the road by Grimsby Town on Saturday, and that loss has left them five points behind 22nd-placed Tranmere Rovers having lost six of their seven matches in 2025.

However, it is notable that Carlisle have earned more than half of their points away from home this season, and though their travelling record of three wins, three draws and nine losses is still poor overall, their ability to maintain their performance levels on the road could give them some encouragement against Newport.

In midweek, Hughes might typically see a game against the fourth tier's 17th-placed side as an opportunity to make inroads in the relegation fight, but the Exiles are enjoying their best spell of the season so far, and it will be incredibly difficult for the Cumbrians to avoid defeat.

Newport County League Two form:

Carlisle United League Two form:


Team News

James Clarke of Newport County in action during his side's match with Chesterfield on October 18, 2024© Imago

With his side having kept a clean sheet and put in a strong performance against Crewe, expect Jardim to opt for the same XI against Carlisle on Tuesday.

A back three of Cameron Evans, James Clarke and Matthew Baker will be protecting Nick Townsend between the sticks, while Shane McLoughlin and Cameron Antwi will be patrolling the middle of the park.

Up front, Courtney Baker-Richardson will lead the line, supported by David Ajiboye and Bobby Kamwa.

As for Carlisle, Jordan Jones missed Hughes's first game in charge through suspension, and he will be welcomed back into the squad in midweek.

The new boss opted for a system resembling a 4-2-3-1 shape against Grimsby, so expect to see Callum Whelan and William Patching at the base of midfield, with Elliot Embleton operating just behind striker Joe Hugill.


Newport County possible starting lineup:
Townsend; Evans, Clarke, Baker; Thomas, McLoughlin, Antwi, Driscoll-Glennon; Ajiboye, Kamwa; Baker-Richardson

Carlisle United possible starting lineup:
Breeze; Williams, Lavelle, Thomas, McArthur; Whelan, Patching; Wearne, Embleton, Harris; Hugill


SM words green background

We say: Newport County 2-1 Carlisle United

All of the momentum seems to be with Newport ahead of this clash, and Jardim's side will be confident of securing another three points as their ambitions for the season grow.

That being said, Carlisle will be desperate for points and may benefit from the new manager bounce, so the Exiles must be wary if they are to walk away with the win.


For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.




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Written by
Anthony Nolan

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Data Failed

Who will win Saturday's League Two clash between Newport and Carlisle?

Newport County
Draw
Carlisle United
Newport County
0.0%
Draw
100%
Carlisle United
0.0%
1
Collect / Create New Data
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall29185655322359
2Notts County29158647281953
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster3015784437752
4Bradford CityBradford29148739281150
5AFC Wimbledon28147739201949
6Port Vale29131063832649
7Salford City3013983829948
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe30121263628848
9Grimsby Town30143134246-445
10Chesterfield29119948341442
11Colchester UnitedColchester2991373530540
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood2810993935439
13Bromley3091294040039
14MK Dons29115134241138
15Swindon TownSwindon31911114647-138
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham29108113741-438
17Newport CountyNewport29106134047-736
18BarrowBarrow2997133032-234
19Gillingham2895142532-732
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2879123445-1130
21Harrogate TownHarrogate3186172542-1730
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2968152148-2726
23Morecambe3065192748-2123
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2956182348-2521


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