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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
42.39% (![]() | 25.33% (![]() | 32.27% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.63% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52% (![]() | 48% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.83% (![]() | 70.17% (![]() |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.44% | 22.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.85% | 56.15% (![]() |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.83% (![]() | 28.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.15% (![]() | 63.85% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 9.46% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.93% 2-0 @ 7.04% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-0 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.23% Total : 42.39% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.35% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.66% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 8.05% 1-2 @ 7.6% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.1% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 12 |
2 | Notts County | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 11 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
4 | Gillingham | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Bradford CityBradford | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
6 | Walsall | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
8 | Newport CountyNewport | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
9 | Chesterfield | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
10 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
11 | Bromley | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
12 | Port Vale | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 7 |
14 | MK Dons | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6 |
16 | Grimsby Town | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 |
19 | Salford City | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 5 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 2 |
24 | Morecambe | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
> League Two Full Table |