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Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Mansfield
2 - 1
Accrington

Maris (2'), Quinn (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Leigh (85')
Hills (35'), Coyle (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 1-4 Mansfield
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 4-0 Accrington
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Accrington Stanley

While Mansfield Town has suffered a drop-off in form of late, they will be backing themselves against a floundering Accrington side who have managed just one win in their last nine outings. That said, we are backing Clough's men to come away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 69.56%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 13.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-2 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawAccrington Stanley
69.56% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 17.17% (0.0030000000000001 0) 13.27% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.07% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)33.46% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.74% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)55.25% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)8.66% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)29.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.48% (0.007000000000005 0.01)37.52% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.7% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)74.3% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 69.56%
    Accrington Stanley 13.27%
    Draw 17.17%
Mansfield TownDrawAccrington Stanley
2-0 @ 9.72% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 9.53%
1-0 @ 7.95%
3-0 @ 7.93% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 7.77%
4-0 @ 4.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 4.75%
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.37% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 2.33%
5-1 @ 2.33%
5-2 @ 1.14%
6-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
6-1 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 69.56%
1-1 @ 7.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 17.17%
1-2 @ 3.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 3.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 13.27%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Accrington

Mansfield Town
97.2%
Draw
2.8%
Accrington Stanley
0.0%
36
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Accrington
0-3
Mansfield

Bagueloc'rich (6')
Keillor-Dunn (29'), Maris (35'), Lewis (75')
Maris (47')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
First Round
Mansfield
6-1
Accrington
Walker (9' pen., 13' pen., 45'), Khan (16'), Rose (66'), Hamilton (90')
Mellis (28'), Benning (41')
Finley (6')
Conneely (26'), Mingoia (29'), Platt (45')
Mar 30, 2018 3pm
Aug 19, 2017 3pm
Feb 14, 2017 7.45pm
Mansfield
4-4
Accrington
Bennett (31'), White (45'), Coulthirst (64'), Arquin (89')
MacDonald (27'), Byrom (42'), Bennett (51'), Collins (85')
Beckles (5'), McCartan (28'), Kee (43', 66')
McCartan (18'), Donacien (22'), Pearson (33'), Beckles (61'), Conneelly (62'), Kee (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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