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Championship header 2

League Two
Northampton Town
League Two | 2nd Leg
May 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Mansfield Town

Northampton
0 - 1
Mansfield


Pinnock (87'), Horsfall (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McLaughlin (32')
O'Toole (53'), Wallace (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League Two clash between Northampton Town and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Mansfield
Wednesday, May 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Mansfield Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Port Vale
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Mansfield Town (Mansfield to win 3-2 on aggregate)

 Having kept themselves in the tie, Northampton will fancy their chances when it comes to using home territory to their advantage. However, we feel that Mansfield will do just enough on Wednesday evening to come through this tie, potentially benefitting from a goal in the first half on the break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 36.08%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
35.89% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 28.04% (-0.339 -0.34) 36.08% (0.337 0.34)
Both teams to score 47.7% (1.016 1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.62% (1.246 1.25)58.38% (-1.237 -1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.02% (0.967 0.97)78.99% (-0.958 -0.96)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69% (0.63900000000001 0.64)31% (-0.63 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.7% (0.741 0.74)67.31% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.12% (0.84699999999999 0.85)30.88% (-0.837 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.84% (0.979 0.98)67.17% (-0.97199999999999 -0.97)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 35.89%
    Mansfield Town 36.07%
    Draw 28.03%
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 11.21% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.084 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.56% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.89%
1-1 @ 13.17% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 9.57% (-0.457 -0.46)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.151 0.15)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 11.24% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-2 @ 7.74% (0.127 0.13)
0-2 @ 6.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.118 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.59% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 36.07%

How you voted: Northampton vs Mansfield

Northampton Town
52.8%
Draw
33.7%
Mansfield Town
13.5%
89
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 7.45pm
Mansfield
2-1
Northampton
Oates (13'), Bowery (32')
Maris (50'), Perch (61')
Koiki (61')
McWilliams (22')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Mansfield
1-0
Northampton
Hawkins (21')
McLaughlin (5'), Hewitt (65'), Stirk (85')

Lewis (75')
Lewis (75')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Northampton
2-0
Mansfield
McGowan (23'), Horsfall (74')
Etete (24'), Horsfall (75')

Charsley (41')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Northampton
1-2
Mansfield
Smith (90+5')
Goode (31'), Oliver (54'), McCormack (62'), Smith (62'), Adams (90+3')
Hoskins (10')
Rose (12' pen.), Tomlinson (74')
Tomlinson (31')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Mansfield
1-1
Northampton
Cook (74')
Clarke (36'), Benning (59'), Cook (72'), Bishop (94'), Preston (97')
Smith (84')
McCormack (12'), Turnbull (38'), Anderson (56'), Watson (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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