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Walsall
Mansfield Town
League Two | 1st Leg
May 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
Northampton Town

Mansfield
2 - 1
Northampton

Oates (13'), Bowery (32')
Maris (50'), Perch (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Koiki (61')
McWilliams (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Northampton Town

Despite their lengthy unbeaten streak, Saturday could have taken a lot out of Northampton. Even with Mansfield having failed to win either of their last two fixtures, we feel that the home side should capitalise on the mindset of their opponents to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawNorthampton Town
42.03%26.55%31.41%
Both teams to score 51.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.64%53.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1%74.9%
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9%25.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.21%59.79%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.57%31.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.2%67.8%
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 42.03%
    Northampton Town 31.41%
    Draw 26.55%
Mansfield TownDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 7.54%
3-1 @ 4.02%
3-0 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.03%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 7.89%
2-2 @ 5.05%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 9.13%
1-2 @ 7.3%
0-2 @ 5.28%
1-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 31.41%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Northampton

Mansfield Town
68.8%
Draw
12.5%
Northampton Town
18.8%
32
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Northampton
2-0
Mansfield
McGowan (23'), Horsfall (74')
Etete (24'), Horsfall (75')

Charsley (41')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Northampton
1-2
Mansfield
Smith (90+5')
Goode (31'), Oliver (54'), McCormack (62'), Smith (62'), Adams (90+3')
Hoskins (10')
Rose (12' pen.), Tomlinson (74')
Tomlinson (31')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Mansfield
1-1
Northampton
Cook (74')
Clarke (36'), Benning (59'), Cook (72'), Bishop (94'), Preston (97')
Smith (84')
McCormack (12'), Turnbull (38'), Anderson (56'), Watson (56')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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