MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 16:32:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Notts County
2 - 0
Accrington

McGoldrick (18', 67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Walton (16'), Awe (19'), Love (45+1'), Batty (63'), Quirk (65'), Whalley (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Notts County
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Accrington 1-4 Stockport
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Notts County 3-1 Accrington Stanley

 Notts County may have won just one of their last eight league meetings with Accrington, failing to keep a single clean sheet during this run, but they will be regarded as favourites to come out on top in Saturday's contest. Accrington have shown signs of promise going forward in stages of games this term, but they have lost each of their last five away league games, conceding 17 goals in the process, and they may struggle to keep the hosts quiet at Meadow Lane. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 55.7%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.23%) and 1-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawAccrington Stanley
55.7% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26) 20.84% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 23.46% (0.179 0.18)
Both teams to score 64.34% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.59% (-0.194 -0.19)33.41% (0.194 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.8% (-0.22 -0.22)55.19% (0.221 0.22)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.91% (-0.136 -0.14)12.09% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.37% (-0.288 -0.29)37.63% (0.289 0.29)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (0.030999999999992 0.03)26.81% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (0.041000000000004 0.04)62.1% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 55.7%
    Accrington Stanley 23.46%
    Draw 20.84%
Notts CountyDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 6.85% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.42% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.54% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.69% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.33% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 55.7%
1-1 @ 9.01% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.27% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.24% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 20.84%
1-2 @ 5.93% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.27% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.81% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 23.46%

How you voted: Notts County vs Accrington

Notts County
89.7%
Draw
6.9%
Accrington Stanley
3.4%
29
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
Accrington
2-2
Notts County
Whalley (17'), Nolan (79' pen.)
O'Brien (46'), Hills (90+6')
O'Brien (4'), Jatta (45')
Baldwin (71')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Notts County
3-1
Accrington
Crowley (7'), Langstaff (64', 90')
Jones (22'), Nemane (61'), Adebayo-Rowling (90+5'), Brindley (90+5')
Andrews (27')
Leigh (74'), Conneely (86')
Apr 2, 2018 3pm
Accrington
1-0
Notts County
Hughes (9')
Aug 25, 2017 7.45pm
Notts County
2-2
Accrington
Stead (33' pen.), Grant (54')
Duffy (58'), Hewitt (63'), Tootle (91')
Tootle (91')
Hughes (58'), Wilks (95')
Donacien (65'), Wilks (92')
Leacock-McLeod (66')
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
Accrington
2-0
Notts County
Rodgers (45'), Husin (80')

Ameobi (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Notts County27138643271647
3Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020
> League Two Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!