MX23RW : Monday, February 10 14:49:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
AFC Wimbledon

Sutton
2 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Randall (13'), Bugiel (69')
Bugiel (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Davison (40')
Woodyard (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Sutton United and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 2-1 Gillingham
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 AFC Wimbledon
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 1-2 AFC Wimbledon

 Sutton's form has improved recently, but it is still no comparison to the dramatic turnaround orchestrated by Johnnie Jackson at Wimbledon. As such, we expect the visitors to secure a narrow victory in a closely-contested affair, winning by the same scoreline as they did on Thursday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 23.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
48.41% (0.061 0.06) 27.93% (-0.093 -0.09) 23.66% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 42.51% (0.259 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.82% (0.317 0.32)62.18% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.13% (0.232 0.23)81.87% (-0.22999999999999 -0.23)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (0.17599999999999 0.18)25.91% (-0.175 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.1% (0.236 0.24)60.9% (-0.236 -0.24)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.38% (0.215 0.21)42.62% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.03% (0.184 0.18)78.97% (-0.18300000000001 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 48.4%
    AFC Wimbledon 23.66%
    Draw 27.92%
Sutton UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 14.91% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.53% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.87% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 48.4%
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 11.04% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.66% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 9.42% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.02%
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.04% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 23.66%

How you voted: Sutton vs AFC Wimbledon

Sutton United
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
AFC Wimbledon
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Sutton
Hudlin (17')

Bugiel (56')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
0-1
Sutton

Pell (13')
Eastmond (30')
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
Sutton
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
Wilson (47')

Guinness-Walker (71')
Jan 17, 2017 7.45pm
Third Round
AFC Wimbledon
1-3
Sutton
Elliott (10')
Kelly (57'), Barnett (85')
Robinson (15')
Deacon (75'), Biamou (90'), Fitchett (96')
Deacon (34'), Spence (43'), Collins (82')
Jan 7, 2017 3pm
Third Round
Sutton
0-0
AFC Wimbledon

Downer (25'), Biamou (47'), Collins (60'), Bailey (75')

Reeves (22'), Robinson (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall29185655322359
2Notts County29158647281953
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster3015784437752
4Bradford CityBradford29148739281150
5AFC Wimbledon28147739201949
6Port Vale29131063832649
7Salford City3013983829948
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe30121263628848
9Grimsby Town30143134246-445
10Chesterfield29119948341442
11Colchester UnitedColchester2991373530540
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood2810993935439
13Bromley3091294040039
14MK Dons29115134241138
15Swindon TownSwindon31911114647-138
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham29108113741-438
17Newport CountyNewport29106134047-736
18BarrowBarrow2997133032-234
19Gillingham2895142532-732
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2879123445-1130
21Harrogate TownHarrogate3186172542-1730
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2968152148-2726
23Morecambe3065192748-2123
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2956182348-2521
> League Two Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!