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Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Sutton United

Crawley
1 - 2
Sutton

Oteh (90+5')
Craig (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kizzi (61'), Milsom (70' pen.)
Randall (83'), Boldewijn (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Crawley Town 1-0 Sutton United

While Sutton United will be looking to end their poor run of results on the road, Monday's game pits them against a Crawley Town side who are unbeaten in five of their last six home games in the league. We are backing the Red Devils to end their losing streak in this fixture and return to winning ways in front of their home fans, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawSutton United
37.93% (0.10599999999999 0.11) 27.57% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09) 34.5% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.02% (0.259 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.3% (0.325 0.32)56.69% (-0.328 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (0.26 0.26)77.65% (-0.262 -0.26)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08% (0.22 0.22)28.91% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.21% (0.273 0.27)64.79% (-0.274 -0.27)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95% (0.151 0.15)31.04% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.64% (0.178 0.18)67.36% (-0.178 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 37.93%
    Sutton United 34.5%
    Draw 27.56%
Crawley TownDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.13% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 37.93%
1-1 @ 13.02% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.98% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 10.5% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.14% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.97% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.5%

Head to Head
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Sutton
3-0
Crawley
Smith (4', 86'), Bennett (7')
Barden (35')

Davies (34'), Oteh (52'), Nadesan (90+2')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Crawley
0-1
Sutton

Dallison (19'), Francillette (83')
Olaofe (84')
John (75'), Milsom (75'), Bouzanis (76'), Boldewijn (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2671273028233
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2784152338-1528
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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