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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Carlisle United

Sutton
1 - 1
Carlisle

Kouassi (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kizzi (85' og.)
Robinson (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rochdale 4-1 Sutton
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Salford City
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 0-2 Carlisle United

Carlisle only need a point on Monday, but we expect them to take all three, given that they looked very solid in their last away trip against Barrow. Not only that, but Sutton have been very poor in recent weeks, typified by a shock defeat against bottom-of-the-table Rochdale, which indicates they have very little chance against a side of the Cumbrians' quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.97%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-0 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawCarlisle United
28.82% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 29.21% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 41.97% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 42.81% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.38% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)63.62% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.08% (-0.044 -0.04)82.92% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.14% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)38.86% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.41% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)75.59% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01%29.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)66.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 28.82%
    Carlisle United 41.96%
    Draw 29.2%
Sutton UnitedDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 6.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 28.82%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 11.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.2%
0-1 @ 14.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.45% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.39% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.21%
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 41.96%

How you voted: Sutton vs Carlisle

Sutton United
10.0%
Draw
20.0%
Carlisle United
70.0%
10
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 1pm
gameweek 20
Carlisle
1-1
Sutton
Edmondson (30')
Guy (45+3')
Randall (45')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
gameweek 29
Carlisle
0-2
Sutton

Omotoye (52')
Olaofe (23'), Ajiboye (31')
Milsom (55'), Olaofe (67')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
gameweek 9
Sutton
4-0
Carlisle
Whelan (4' og.), Smith (37', 70'), Ajiboye (81')
Goodliffe (57')

Mampala (56'), Dickenson (56')
Mampala (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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