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Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Sutton United

Carlisle
0 - 2
Sutton


Omotoye (52')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Olaofe (23'), Ajiboye (31')
Milsom (55'), Olaofe (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Carlisle United 0-2 Sutton United

Sutton should be able to carry on their forward momentum by collecting another three points on Saturday, taking advantage of any lost confidence for Carlisle due to their heavy defeat last weekend. The hosts have not been very prolific in front of goal this season and that will play into the hands of Sutton, who will be looking to keep a clean sheet for a third straight game in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.61%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Sutton United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sutton United.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawSutton United
34.27%28.9%36.83%
Both teams to score 45.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.47%61.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.61%81.39%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32%33.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66%70.34%
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68%32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.54%68.46%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 34.26%
    Sutton United 36.83%
    Draw 28.89%
Carlisle UnitedDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.72%
2-1 @ 7.27%
2-0 @ 6.38%
3-1 @ 2.64%
3-0 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 34.26%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 10.77%
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.89%
0-1 @ 12.28%
1-2 @ 7.61%
0-2 @ 7%
1-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 36.83%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Sutton

Carlisle United
0.0%
Draw
20.0%
Sutton United
80.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Sutton
4-0
Carlisle
Whelan (4' og.), Smith (37', 70'), Ajiboye (81')
Goodliffe (57')

Mampala (56'), Dickenson (56')
Mampala (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421


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