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Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Carlisle United

Swindon
1 - 2
Carlisle

Shade (80')
Wakeling (17'), Austin (58'), Clayton (70'), Shade (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Armer (51'), Edmondson (90+6')
Guy (9'), McCalmont (56'), Moxon (76')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCarlisle United
41.94% (-0.184 -0.18) 26.19% (-0.029 -0.03) 31.87% (0.212 0.21)
Both teams to score 52.66% (0.168 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.23% (0.184 0.18)51.77% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.46% (0.158 0.16)73.53% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.56% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)24.43% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)58.87% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (0.23399999999999 0.23)30.31% (-0.235 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (0.278 0.28)66.49% (-0.279 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 41.93%
    Carlisle United 31.87%
    Draw 26.18%
Swindon TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.35% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 41.93%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.44% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 31.87%

How you voted: Swindon vs Carlisle

Swindon Town
0.0%
Draw
60.0%
Carlisle United
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
1-1
Swindon
Dennis (45')
Moxon (63')
Wakeling (22')
Reed (18'), MacDonald (90+4')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
0-3
Swindon

Simeu (36')
McKirdy (17'), Davison (55'), Barry (57')
Davison (36'), Cooper (87')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Swindon
1-2
Carlisle
Crichlow (30')
Kesler (28'), Reed (90+3')
Kesler (90+7')
Riley (13'), Abrahams (43')
Dickenson (29'), Norman (63')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Carlisle
1-1
Swindon
Hayden (62')
Edmonds-Green (11')
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
Swindon
3-2
Carlisle
Yates (56'), Fryers (70'), Woolery (90')
Doughty (34'), Lyden (57')
Olomola (52'), Sagaf (92')
Knight-Percival (57')
Carroll (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Notts County27138643271647
3Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020
> League Two Full Table


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