Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
