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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 30
Feb 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Exeter City

Swindon
1 - 2
Exeter

Tomlinson (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Brown (84'), Dieng (88')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Exeter City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawExeter City
35.04%25.89%39.07%
Both teams to score 54.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.18%49.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.19%71.81%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67%27.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22%62.78%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95%25.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28%59.72%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 35.04%
    Exeter City 39.07%
    Draw 25.89%
Swindon TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 8.88%
2-1 @ 7.97%
2-0 @ 5.76%
3-1 @ 3.45%
3-0 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 35.04%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 6.84%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 9.48%
1-2 @ 8.51%
0-2 @ 6.56%
1-3 @ 3.93%
0-3 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.36%
0-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.07%

Head to Head
Oct 6, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Swindon
3-4
Exeter
Smith (61', 85'), Palmer (90+2')
Grant (43')
Kite (4'), Seymour (7' pen.), Atangana (63'), Hartridge (68')
Sweeney (78')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 31
Swindon
2-1
Exeter
Doyle (20'), Hope (45')
Doughty (63')
Williams (34')
Bowman (36')
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 3
Exeter
1-1
Swindon
Jay (72')
Taylor (45')
Doyle (88')
Baudry (39'), Doughty (94')
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Swindon
0-2
Exeter
Forte (37' pen.), Collins (69')
Martin (57'), Ogbene (89')
Oct 13, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 13
Exeter
2-0
Swindon
Forte (14'), Stockley (63')
Boateng (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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