Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.74%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 8.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 3-0 (10.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Vizela |
76.74% (![]() | 15.24% (![]() | 8.02% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.81% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.7% (![]() | 40.3% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.33% (![]() | 62.67% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.26% (![]() | 8.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.97% (![]() | 30.03% (![]() |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48% (![]() | 52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.99% (![]() | 86% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Vizela |
2-0 @ 13.49% (![]() 1-0 @ 11.07% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 10.96% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.83% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.17% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.37% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 3.66% Total : 76.72% | 1-1 @ 7.24% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.54% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.89% ( ![]() Other @ 0.57% Total : 15.24% | 0-1 @ 2.97% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 1.71% Total : 8.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 12 |
2 | Porto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
3 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
7 | Benfica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
12 | AVS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |