Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Boavista |
35.73% ( 0.19) | 26.89% ( -0.01) | 37.38% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 51.26% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.07% ( 0.03) | 53.92% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.62% ( 0.03) | 75.37% ( -0.03) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.1% ( 0.13) | 28.9% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.23% ( 0.16) | 64.77% ( -0.16) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.09% ( -0.09) | 27.9% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.48% ( -0.11) | 63.52% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.73% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 37.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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