Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Arouca |
38.24% (![]() | 25.24% (![]() | 36.52% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.87% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.21% (![]() | 46.8% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.95% (![]() | 69.06% (![]() |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.88% (![]() | 24.12% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.58% (![]() | 58.42% (![]() |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.95% (![]() | 25.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.27% (![]() | 59.73% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 8.59% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.46% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.11% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.01% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.03% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 1.95% Total : 38.24% | 1-1 @ 11.89% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.04% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.85% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 8.37% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.23% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.79% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.8% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.7% 0-3 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.94% 0-4 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.79% Total : 36.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 12 |
2 | Porto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
3 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
7 | Benfica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
12 | AVS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |