MX23RW : Saturday, September 7 23:54:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 20, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Arouca

Estoril
1 - 2
Arouca

Guitane (3')
Marques (50'), Carlos (90+3'), Pina (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mujica (8'), Esgaio (45+1')
Santos (50'), Esgaio (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Moreirense
Saturday, January 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Arouca
Monday, January 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 2-0 Arouca

Estoril and Arouca have both stumbled into the new year and will be looking to end their run of three consecutive defeats. While both sides are evenly matched on paper, we fancy the Canarinhos to claim all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawArouca
38.24% (0.073 0.07) 25.24% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 36.52% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.87% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.21% (0.033000000000001 0.03)46.8% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.95% (0.032999999999998 0.03)69.06% (-0.026999999999987 -0.03)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88% (0.054000000000002 0.05)24.12% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.58% (0.076999999999998 0.08)58.42% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)25.05% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.27% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)59.73% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 38.24%
    Arouca 36.52%
    Draw 25.24%
Estoril PraiaDrawArouca
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 38.24%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 8.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 0.94%
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 36.52%

How you voted: Estoril vs Arouca

Estoril Praia
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Arouca
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 1
Arouca
4-3
Estoril
Mujica (20'), Cristo (57'), Feltes (73' og.), Santos (90+6')
Esgaio (4'), Sylla (10'), Kouassi (21'), Santos (90+7')
Kouassi (37')
Holsgrove (10'), Marques (49'), Marques (70')
Holsgrove (41'), Gomes (90+10')
May 15, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 32
Estoril
2-0
Arouca
Carvalho (68'), Cassiano (90+4')
Jan 7, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 15
Arouca
2-0
Estoril
Dabbagh (28', 64')
Jan 27, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 18
Estoril
1-2
Arouca
Ba (6' og.)
Joaozinho (26'), Franco (67'), Geraldes (90+6')
Silva (89'), Kouassi (90+7')
Ba (54'), Moreira (75')
Aug 7, 2021 12.45pm
Gameweek 1
Arouca
0-2
Estoril

Andres Caballero (88')
Filipe Russo Franco (4'), Meshino (90+6')
Gamboa (38'), Alexis Leite Figueira (57'), Geraldes (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon44001621412
2Porto43017259
3FamalicaoFamalicao43017259
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara43018449
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes43014229
6Braga42205238
7Benfica42115327
8MoreirenseMoreirense42117617
9Rio AveRio Ave420235-26
10Gil Vicente412145-15
11BoavistaBoavista411212-14
12AVS411257-24
13Nacional411248-44
14AroucaArouca410325-33
15Casa Pia410316-53
16Estoril PraiaEstoril402215-42
17Estrela Amadora401316-51
18SC FarenseFarense4004110-90


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