Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Porto 5-1 Arouca
Wednesday, December 28 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Wednesday, December 28 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Famalicao
Thursday, December 15 at 8pm in Taca da Liga
Thursday, December 15 at 8pm in Taca da Liga
We said: Arouca 1-0 Estoril Praia
Despite the heavy defeat last week to Porto, we are siding with the hosts in this one. Arouca have won three of their last five games across all competitions, so they come into this match in better form than their opponents. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Estoril Praia |
35.35% ( -0.04) | 28.02% ( -0.08) | 36.63% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 47.74% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
