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Leganes logo
La Liga | Gameweek 36
Jul 12, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Valencia logo

Leganes
1 - 0
Valencia

Perez (18' pen.)
Mesa (70'), Ruibal (80'), Awaziem (90+2'), Recio (90+4')
Silva (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wass (9')

Preview: Leganes vs. Valencia - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Leganes and Valencia, including team news and predicted lineups.

Leganes will be looking to boost their hopes of avoiding relegation from La Liga when they welcome Valencia to Estadio Municipal de Butarque on Sunday night.

The home side are currently 19th in the table, six points from the safety of 17th position, while Valencia occupy eighth, three points off the top six with three games left.


Match preview

Javier Aguirre in charge of Egypt on June 21, 2019© Reuters

Leganes have picked up positive results in their last two matches, beating basement side Espanyol 1-0 on July 5 before claiming a decent point away to Eibar on Thursday night.

Javier Aguirre's side are still in big trouble when it comes to the threat of relegation, though, as they sit 19th in the table, six points behind 17th-placed Alaves.

A lot would have to go their way over the next eight days in order to escape the bottom three, but a victory this weekend would certainly be a huge step in the right direction.

Leganes have the second-worst home form in La Liga this season, though, picking up just 16 points from their 17 matches, suffering nine defeats in the process.

Los Pepineros have actually not lost to Valencia in the league since April 2018, with the last three top-flight meetings between the two sides finishing 1-1.

Geoffrey Kondogbia pictured ahead of a Champions League match for Valencia in November 2019© Reuters

Valencia, meanwhile, have shown signs of improvement since Voro replaced Albert Celades as head coach at the end of June, with Los Che picking up four points from their three games since the change of management.

The former Spanish champions will enter this weekend's match off the back of a 2-1 home win over Real Valladolid on Tuesday, which saw them rise into eighth position in the table.

Los Che are actually only three points off sixth-placed Getafe as they bid to make the Europa League, which would not be the worst outcome considering their problems during the 2019-20 campaign.

Valencia's away form this season has been poor, though, winning just three of their 17 La Liga games on the road, suffering 10 defeats in the process, which is the fifth worst in the division.

Leganes La Liga form: DDLLWD

Valencia La Liga form: WLLLDW


Team News

Valencia's Rodrigo Moreno celebrates scoring their first goal on September 17, 2019© Reuters

Leganes will again be without the services of Kenneth Omeruo, Oscar Rodriguez and Guido Carrillo through injury, but the home side have no fresh injury concerns.

Aguirre is likely to resist the temptation to make changes from the side that drew at Eibar last time out, meaning that Javier Eraso might have to accept a spot on the bench once again.

Alexander Szymanowski is available again following injury, but the 31-year-old is likely to remain on the bench, with Miguel Guerrero expected to lead the attack.

As for Valencia, Rodrigo Moreno, Jose Gaya and Cristiano Piccini all remain on the sidelines through injury, but the team did not pick up any issues against Valladolid last time out.

Francis Coquelin, Daniel Wass and Ferran Torres are options for change, although Voro could stick with the same side that picked up a much-needed three points.

Adria Guerrero was preferred to Jaume Costa at left-back against Valladolid and that could again be the case in this match with full-backs Gaya and Piccini still unavailable for selection.

Leganes possible starting lineup:
Cuellar; Rosales, Bustinza, Tarin, Siovas, Silva; Ruibal, Amadou, Perez, Rodrigues; Guerrero

Valencia possible starting lineup:
Domenech; Florenzi, Gabriel, Diakhaby, Guerrero; Soler, Parejo, Kondogbia, Guedes; Gameiro, Gomez


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Leganes 1-2 Valencia

Valencia have certainly shown signs of improvement since Celades left the club, and there is no question that Los Che have a squad packed full of talent. Leganes are in desperate need of a win, but we fancy the visitors to pick up all three points at Estadio Municipal de Butarque.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Leganes win was 1-0 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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