Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
