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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2
Aug 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Marseille

Brest
1 - 1
Marseille

Lees-Melou (61')
Der Zakarian (29'), Belaili (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tavares (38')
Milik (17'), Gerson (57'), Rongier (65'), Guendouzi (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 3-2 Brest
Sunday, August 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Reims
Sunday, August 7 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-3 Marseille

A clash between two sides who simply love to attack has all the makings of an enthralling affair this weekend, unless the footballing gods throw a drab goalless stalemate our way. Such an eventuality should not occur at the Stade Francis Le-Ble, where a full-strength Marseille side ought to march to their second win of the season in convincing fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Brest had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawMarseille
30.36% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 25.92% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 43.72% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)51.18% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)73.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95% (0.00099999999999056 0)31.05% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.63% (0.0020000000000024 0)67.36% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.76% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)57.24% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Brest 30.36%
    Marseille 43.71%
    Draw 25.91%
BrestDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.21%
2-0 @ 4.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.93%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 30.36%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 10.53%
1-2 @ 8.98%
0-2 @ 7.68%
1-3 @ 4.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.59%
0-4 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 43.71%

How you voted: Brest vs Marseille

Brest
4.8%
Draw
6.3%
Marseille
88.9%
63
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 7.45pm
Brest
1-4
Marseille
Cardona (90+1')
Satriano (35')
Gerson (3'), Milik (63'), Harit (71'), Under (90+1')
Guendouzi (33'), Saliba (77'), Gueye (89'), Peres (90')
Dec 4, 2021 4pm
Marseille
1-2
Brest
Gerson (29')
Kamara (61')
Faivre (53' pen.), Honorat (70')
Pierre-Gabriel (90+2'), Cardona (90+3')
Mar 13, 2021 4pm
Marseille
3-1
Brest
Milik (45+1'), Thauvin (88'), Cuisance (90+3')
Caleta-Car (21'), Gonzalez (23'), Thauvin (38')
Brassier (71')
Mounie (55')
Aug 30, 2020 8pm
Brest
2-3
Marseille
Faivre (45+1'), Charbonnier (89')
Pierre-Gabriel (84'), Magnetti (90')
Thauvin (20'), Caleta-Car (27', 80')
Kamara (8'), Amavi (30'), Radonjic (45+3'), Balerdi (61')
Apr 5, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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