Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.